What will replace the Lieberal Party?

Jovial Monk · Post by **Jovial Monk** » Fri May 15, 2009 10:38 am

Yeah, some swinging pensioner voters (

) will swing to Labor for sure.

But yeah, the pointy end of the demographic trainwreck for the Fibs is here.

Jovial Monk · Post by **Jovial Monk** » Fri May 15, 2009 10:50 am

For the Fibs to avoid this slide into irrelevance they need to do some bloody hardwork reforming the Party, bringing it closer to the centre and devising a more youth-oriented look and policies.

But they are wedged, divided, with the Howardista element being the strongest and preventing any reform, any modernisation of party structure and policy. Horatio came up with a 5c petrol excise cut, Malfeasance a 3c excise on ciggies--nothing policies because that is all the wedged/divided Party will ALLOW!

Maybe they should split, the more reactionary wing could merge with the Nuts, the other wing moving to the centre and competing much more with Labor and the Greens for the youth vote. That or irrelevance.

Jovial Monk · Post by **Jovial Monk** » Mon Sep 28, 2009 11:11 am

Article in smh by Adele Horin, re the demographic trap:

http://www.smh.com.au/national/young-co ... -g7qo.html

This is an article drawn from papers published by experts in the field. Also look at:

http://www.ianwatson.com.au/pubs/watson ... _mar08.pdf

JWFrogen · Post by **JWFrogen** » Mon Sep 28, 2009 4:45 pm

All the Liberals have to do to destroy the Labour Party is give Rudd one lite beer and get him in a strip club.

Jovial Monk · Post by **Jovial Monk** » Mon Sep 28, 2009 4:51 pm

Yeah, that worked so well last time, lol!

JWFrogen · Post by **JWFrogen** » Mon Sep 28, 2009 10:01 pm

Jovial Monk wrote:Yeah, that worked so well last time, lol!

He was just a nerd then, now he is a nerdly Prime Minister, his testies have found some punch. Give him one midstrength beer and a pair of boobs that do not mop the floor like his wifes and I bet we will get some interesting headlines.

Jovial Monk · Post by **Jovial Monk** » Sat Oct 03, 2009 2:06 pm

A thoroughly researched, emperically solid paper on the Liberal Party's demographic trap:

http://optuszoo.com.au/news/26573/young ... ecies.html

The actual paper should be available from tomorrow. Here is a paper on demographic shift using Newspoll data:

http://www.ianwatson.com.au/pubs/watson ... _mar08.pdf

The paper to be published tomorrow is based on the Australian Election study.

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What will replace the Lieberal Party?

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